Mar 28, 2009

Congrats, Chris!

I’ve put this off a few days, but have finally got a moment to write something coherent and hopefully not rambling… I just wanted to congratulate Chris Thilk on joining the team over at Voce. As some of you may know, I had the odd situation of being able to hire Chris twice, once at AdJab, and once at MWW Group, where he’d left shortly after I did during the summer of ‘08, so it’s kind of strange to actually be writing this. We’ve actually joked since our departure(s) that it was the longest we’d both gone without writing on the same blog together since like 2005 or something, and that’s kinda funny.

In any case, I know Chris is psyched to have joined up with Josh and Mike, and I’m really happy for him. As those guys have both stated on their individual blogs and on the Voce Nation blog, he certainly “walks the walk” more than he “talks the talk,” unlike a significant amount of “experts” in the world of social media these days. And yes, I’m taking a blind potshot here, because it would take me too long to call people out, IMHO.

Chris, like myself, isn’t into doing random-ass social media programs because they’re the flavor of the week / month / minute, and gets the one-to-one conversation while still being able to work hard to scale. It was great for me to work with him on both an office-based and Internet-only kind of level, as that certainly teaches you a lot about how people work, react to things happening halfway across a country, and so on. I know he’ll do a great job for the Voce crew, and it’s really cool to see that he’s taken an awesome step in his career, especially one where he gets to work with some of the highly legit people in the public relations and – and dare I say – social media space. It was a blast having him there to bounce stuff off (something I still do to this day, down to the ‘do i blog this or not?’ questions), and I’d like to say congratulations again, and good luck working with a guy who’s addicted to taking photographs all day. Oh, wait…

Mar 27, 2009

Vision vs. Audacity vs. Reality

A couple of weeks ago, Anil Dash published a post about “vision” in business, specifically citing the widely reported-on comments from Amazon chief Jeff Bezos, who said, at the unveiling of Amazon’s new Kindle 2, that “every book, ever printed, in any language, all available in less than 60 seconds,” was the goal. It was interesting to see that Anil’s first link went to an article that “noted the audacity” of that particular vision-bearing statement, and it was good to get that out of the way. He goes on to discuss how some of the bigger companies “should have clear goals about how to make money,” (read: making plans for the future – or the future where we’re putting our dollars / mindshare / time / eyeballs where they want them to be), but when discussing how Apple gets cred for Steve Jobs’ apparent “visionary”-ness, it’s because he is “the best showman” we see of late (he most certainly is, at least in the consumer goods area).

The discussion then goes into how Apple could, if it wanted to, adjust its “vision” – or perceived vision, really – while Jobs is on leave from the company for health reasons. I’m not sure this is the case, or even necessary. Is the argument here that Amazon’s Bezos has taken a stand on what he / the company sees as the future for the Kindle, and Apple carries such a significant mindshare that it, too, can set the bar if it wants to? Personally, I see some of the “vision” for an Apple in that it can pretty much release products it sees as a good idea, and figure out how to get us to buy, use, download from, whatever them. I see their vision in adapting, moving on, finding a way to replace a product with a similar, sometimes slightly upgraded model, and get people – maybe not the “mass,” but enough to cause a stir and make some cash – to buy a new one once a year. You know that one person you’ve come across that leases a new BMW / Jaguar / insert luxury car here once per year? Well let’s take that to a $100-$500/year scale, and you’ve got Apple customers. If that isn’t vision, then I don’t know what is.

To me, what’s most interesting about Bezos’ statement is how absolutely spot on it is with something that ran in 1999/2000 or thereabouts, from telecommunications provider Qwest.

Remember that commercial? It’s been ten years since you saw it, or somewhere thereabouts. For those of us already addicted to the Internet (I say that in a nice way, natch) at that time, it was a big idea, most certainly not outlandish, but it certainly caught the attention of a lot of people. Think about it, though. While the ad hasn’t “come true” in the literal sense, we’re pretty damn close, a decade later. For the average person with a computer or Web-enabled cellphone, you can probably dig up most songs you’d want to listen to, find clips from (or a torrent to download) of most movies you would want to watch, and so on. This doesn’t mean you have to get all hardcore and try and do a “six degrees” test to see how far you can take it, putting in silent Russian films from the 1920’s to see if you can find a recording, I just wanted to point out that what might have been perceived as outlandish a decade ago is almost where we’re at.

And while we’re at it, it should be pointed out that while ten years ago, the precursor to today’s FTTP/H (fiber to the premises / home) was part of a “vision” authored by Qwest via a clerk at a motel in a television commercial, that doesn’t mean that said brand has to be the one to get it there, as evidenced by these comments from the company a year ago last month.

Bezos didn’t say “…by next Thursday” at the end of that statement, so again, it’s open to interpretation. Is it “audacious” for the “every book” statement to be made in public, associated with a product? Certainly not. Is it visionary to have done so, in this particular case? Absolutely. Does every company need to come out and make a “blanket” statement about a particular product / service / marketplace? I certainly don’t think so, but that’s probably why we aren’t seeing this every single day.

Mar 26, 2009

North Dakota Red River Flood 2009

Earlier this week, I’d been hearing about the impending flooding around Grand Forks and Fargo, North Dakota, this week, and have to say that stories like this one have such a different impact after you’ve actually seen the places where it’s going down, sadly.

GFK Flood MarkerWhen you visit Grand Forks, it’s pretty easy to stumble upon the flood marker downtown – as seen right here from 12/26/06, with me standing next to it. It gives you some perspective of how high the water was – especially when you look at it with respect to the Red River, which you’re standing right next to – during the Flood of 1997. Said river hit 54.4 feet that year during a flood that did some serious damage to my future family-in-laws’ (former) property, and was around 45.5 feet as of this morning, according to the Grand Forks Herald article linked to above.

3012843685_cef0cf2c0a_mThis morning, I stumbled upon this photo taken on Wednesday by Crystal Ann from Pinkdream Photography. Note the photo just below it, showing the same location, sans snow, from a day earlier. While there was water up on the banks and near the marker, they hadn’t gotten 6-8 inches more snow just yet to compound the situation. The photo embedded in this graf is mine, taken from a location just a few yards north of those photos. You’ll note the slight difference in water level under the bridge.

For more on the flood, you can keep an eye on the Red River Valley Flood 2009 pool on Flickr, which will presumably have a lot more on-the-ground stuff, along with the local papers from Grand Forks and Fargo.

Here’s to hoping that all the people in Fargo and GFK that are trying to keep their homes and selves safe are able to do so. Definitely pulling for you from out here in NJ.

Mar 22, 2009

Dial-up marketing itself as an alternative? Not even close.

I’ve seen this story come up a couple of times now, but a little less than a month ago, Gizmodo’s Dan Nosowitz wrote a story about how NetZero (and presumably its other dial-up Internet competitors) do see bumps in their business when times are tough for people, economically, but as far as marketing to the “mainstream” Internet user, I just don’t see it.

I know enough people who live in rural parts of the country where dial-up or satellite Internet are their only options, and I’m sure that kicking down your satellite access to a ~$10/month fee if you’re in a situation is probably not the end of the world, but beyond that, if you’re “used to” paying somewhere between the $29.95 and $50/month for your Internet service right now, I honestly believe that, in 2009, the high-speed Internet is NOT the #1 thing to be shut off. I’ll gladly check the stats, but even the most long-hauling dial-up customers I know who’ve gone broadband in the last few years are so locked-in nowadays, that they see why I used to complain my head off when trying to look something up for them at their houses.

If this were happening on the reg, it would be a GREAT example of how people don’t value their own time. While I’m not going to attempt calling the Internet / Web access a “utility” in the traditional sense – you know, the things you end up paying on those two “Monopoly” spots on the board – the utility that one gets for high speed Internet vs. dial-up is ridiculous. For one thing, and I don’t give a damn HOW FAST the “speed up” software that’s being offered is, the Internet IS NOT BUILT ANYMORE for dial-up speeds. Check the Web-geography, Rand McNally. Prolly somewhere around the time that broadband penetration reached a certain peak, and that broadband speed got to a certain level, more and more sites just flat out went big. Files are bigger, streaming’s better, and so on. Amusingly, the use of Flash for intros et al actually feels like it’s decreased since then, even though it’s actually *faster* to use now than when I remember the “booming” Flash intro business like 8-9 years ago on the Internet. While that’s gone away, Flash and other technologies have become the meat and potatoes powering your Web experience. Speed up your images, sure, that helps, but it is by no means the same experience.

Don’t people value their time? Seriously. It’s like not getting to fly a different airline that has a direct flight somewhere because said flight is $27 higher than the connection, but the connection has a two-hour layover, and you bill out at $300/hour for your company.

Now let’s take a step back. I’m not at all advocating that the dial-up business doesn’t have its place, that its marketing message will fall completely on deaf ears, and that they haven’t gained business of late. But I’d be curious as to how many people CHOSE to step back their access rather than having only been able to sign up for it after having a home foreclosed on, or been forced to move, or something else of the catastropic nature, etc. Let’s factor those people OUT of the equation for a minute, and then let’s talk about it. If I’m wrong, I’m wrong, but I just don’t see it. The Internet has become so valuable to our daily lives, in the same way that most people I know can’t live anymore without their cellphones. These are the same people that, 10 years ago, would just meet you by the Burger King in the mall food court, but now call you six times between their car and said food court, just because they don’t see you right away. Does that make it right? Hell no. But this feels like more of “smart” marketing (read: opportunistic – and smart on their part, and I’d do the same) rather than reality.

Mar 22, 2009

Catching up (read: behind on RSS and blogging)

So, I’m sitting on the flight home from Houston after going to this year’s SXSW in Austin, Texas. I flew in and out of IAH as it was easier than the connections out there, and I couldn’t get on the direct that does run, in case you were wondering.

So since I was supposed to land approximately 25 minutes ago, and I’m 1,533 items behind on my RSS feeds, and have about a dozen items flagged to blog or do something with, you’ll probably see some randomly off-timed postings over the next few days, but I’m trying really hard to get back in the swing of things.

Mar 16, 2009

Let’s bring back the old PayPal

A few days ago, Tricia Duryee wrote a story at paidContent about how PayPal had some plans to feature its mobile abilities going forward. The post’s first commenter went directly at what I’d planned to say, mostly, after I’d read this post in NetNewsWire, but I thought it worthwhile to point out anyway.

You see, I’ve always been a sucker for technology and keeping an eye on what’s new, and trying to find what’s next. At that time, PayPal had one of the cooler features in that you could beam – yeah, not via email – “money” back and forth to others using handheld devices, such as Palm ones. Of course, I had to be different and had a Handspring Visor (Ice, natch), and found this service especially useful when four or five of us would go to lunch together, and rather than drive our waiter or waitress crazy, one person would pay, and the rest of us would beam our portion of the meal to the other. After syncing our devices back up with PayPal, voila, money transferred.

Sure, you can do similar things today and PayPal has a perfectly fine iPhone application, but the ability to transfer funds so instantaneously was super smart, and super useful. I’m honestly surprised that this ability hasn’t really come back en vogue, especially after about a decade of its usefulness being around.

Mar 15, 2009

Links: 3/15/09

Something that I’ve been meaning to get back to, especially as this blog becomes my main jumpoff, is posting links to things that I thought were worthwhile and that you all might dig reading, so let’s get back to it. Here are a few things I flagged and are hanging out in my RSS reader of late.

  • On Friday, Gizmodo posted a story about the price of popcorn at movie theatres, as compared, inflation adjusted and all, to 1929. While dollars and cents might seem shocking to look at, the picture says it all. Wow. Thilk might die.
  • Mike Manuel had a great item this week about using Twitter for material news, when you’re a public company. It’s something I’ve had a huge fascination with, given the experience I’d had working with some people who did PR for Sun Microsystems, where CEO Jonathan Schwartz was at the forefront of some similar “news” for blogs.
  • This one’s been around awhile, but just read through what Patrick Algrim has to say about how he’s integrated comments into his blog, making them far more prominent. Check the front page of his blog after you’ve read the post to see what he means.

Mar 10, 2009

Update on Nancy Yoshida at the Iditarod

This blog has been getting a bunch of traffic for the last week or so looking for “Nancy Yoshida” and I wanted to post an update, now that I had one. In January of 2008, I’d had the chance to go dogsledding with Nancy while on vacation out in North Dakota, and the hundreds of photos taken of the expedition are here. A few days ago, she took off as one of the rookies in this year’s Iditarod race in Alaska, and today, she’s made some news – though unfortunately probably not for something she wanted to make the news for.

Kevin Klott reports in Tuesday’s Anchorage Daily News that Nancy had been caught up (literally, really) during a stage on Monday, with serious damage to her sled. As of press time (and I’ve not seen an update), Nancy and her dogs were all right, and a backup sled may be taken out to her – but I haven’t heard more. People on the Iditarod forums are keeping close eye on this and other stories, and many of them have access to the pretty cool Iditarod Insider that gives you GPS tracking, video, and more. Think “March Madness” coverage, but for this race.

Here’s to hoping that Nancy and the dogs are okay, and look forward to seeing the updates and her progress. Her goal was to finish the race, and let’s hope that she’s able to do so, as she’s super determined.

[update: 11:31pm] According to some forum users in the know Nancy has apparently moved somewhat, but I haven’t seen any update to the statistics just yet.

[update: 3/11/09 11:08am] The ADN’s Kevin Klott has some updated reports on Nancy Yoshida’s crash and rescue, and subsequent scratching from the race. I know Nancy’s probably terribly upset about having to bow out of the Iditarod after all the hard work she’s put in over the last few years, but she’s probably even more heartbroken about having a dog lost out on the trail. Hope you’re doing all right, Nancy!

[Thanks to @GaryKnowles on Twitter for the heads up on this story tonight]

Mar 10, 2009

Where all my quarters went…

Wil Wheaton probably doesn’t recognize how big of a meme he could have started with this post, “nostalgia overload,” where he shares a great link to “video game experiences” from the early / mid 1980’s, an experience that frankly, most American kids will NEVER have. He then takes it one step further by throwing out his favorite four classic arcade games, and I can’t resist chiming in and taking it a half-step further. In no particular order, here are my fave four arcade games, and some context.

1. Ghosts ‘n Goblins” – I spent so much of the money I made on my newspaper route for the Asbury Park Press that it’s not even funny. As one of the kids who was able to “cross the street” – State Highway 79 – in Matawan, NJ, I got to fight for joystick time against the high school-aged dudes who worked there and the other teenagers – and this is where I spent my quarters.

2. Spy Hunter – I’m damn sure this would make a lot of the lists of children of the 80’s, too. It was simple – you see how fast you can drive, drop oil slicks, grab weapons, drive into the back of a semi, “Knight Rider”-style, all while trying to vanquish mobsters or something. Who knew? Who cares? It was fun, and a classic.

3. Joust – Yeah, that’s right – flying ostriches. Knights, lances, storks, and lava. Need I say more?

4. Gauntlet – I originally wasn’t such a fan, but some good friends were addicted to it, so I chimed on in. Soon enough, “red warrior is about to die” and “blue Valkyrie needs food…badly” were part of my personal lexicon.

I could take this on and on, but let’s save that for another day. How about you? Post on your own site or head on over to Wil’s and chime in.

Mar 8, 2009

Will “Watchmen” go big?

By now, you’ve probably read, or at least flipped past, dozens of reviews for “Watchmen,” so I’ll do my best not to bore you with another, but I thought given the massive amount of discussion, marketing, and possible box office numbers this film might pull, it seemed worthwhile to say a few things.

Big movies have, for quite a few years or at least as long as I’ve really looked for the chance to do so, offered up the opportunity to head to the theatre at 12:01am the night before the premiere, which is typically on a Friday night. In recent years, I’ve gone to see so-called “preview” screenings for films from the “Harry Potter” series, “I Am Legend,” and a few others. This past week, my local theatre had one screen open on Thursday night for “Watchmen,” and if one gauged the success of a film by the amount of people that were in their seats 40-45 minutes before the movie started, then this movie was a winner. That said, I’m not sure if it really is the winner that it might end up being reported as.

Of course, studios are in business to make money for their owners / shareholders / investors, and this film will surely make a bundle. I don’t know if it’ll reach the staggering areas that some “mainstream” titles have in the last couple of years, but it will do just fine, and probably sell a few DVDs, too. But will the film be an “all-time” favorite for movie fans, or just those who love the graphic novel, or dig superhero flicks? At the end of the day, it’s not “The Dark Knight,” but certainly presents some visually stunning images, and the novelty of an “alternate” timeline of the mid-1980’s is fairly amusing for someone who lived through that era. That said, is “Watchmen” a success if it reaps the hundreds of millions of dollars in ticket sales, etc., or does it need to have some staying power?

Considering the amount of marketing muscle put behind this film, which Chris Thilk has documented in his “Watchmen” column this past week at Movie Marketing Madness, is this particular film’s campaign “too big to fail,” as Thilk suggests? THR’s Gregg Kilday reported on Saturday that the film brought in $24.9 million on its opening day, Friday – with more than $4 million of that happening at the screenings on Thursday night. That was the pile my $10.75 went into. That same article states that “Watchmen” is tracking lower than “300,” director Zack Snyder’s last film, did on its first full day. I’m sure the creative spin would be “well, the economy continues to tighten, blah blah blah. But no sale, should that happen. Movie ticket sales are tracking way up for a good portion of the box offices in the U.S. year-to-date, so the film shouldn’t be “hindered” by what is a perfectly logical excuse these days, but has proven to be one of the only upward-moving markets this year. Well, except for condom sales.

picture-10Speaking of condom sales, let’s get back to the film. Most comic book movies I’ve seen in the last few years have a pretty mixed up crowd as far as men and women. “Watchmen,” not so much. There were so many guys in this theatre that if it were blown up, those condom sales would have dropped significantly in the town I was in. Beyond the high guy-to-girl ratio, I’d say there were far more “fanboy”-esque guys in the room than normal, but that might not be a fair assessment given that it was a midnight show on a Thursday night.

picture-11On the way out, I heard FAR more negative comments about the movie, its ending, how it was shot, the soundtrack (should I go on?) than I did positive. Of course, it’s like the online world, it’s a lot easier to say something negative than to be positive publicly – but still. And while I think we all knew that Dr. Manhattan’s junk was going to be on full display here, but hearing the giggles from the “boys” in the theatre was far more distracting than seeing some dude’s stuff on screen.

As far as the actual movie goes, I thought this wrapup at MTV.com pretty much summed up how I felt after leaving the parking lot at 3am – seriously conflicted. Did I “like” the movie? Yeah, I think I did. Was it too long? I do think it went a lot longer than it needed to, and I *LOVE* really long movies, when it actually covers everything integral to the story, but it just felt like it was going and going at certain points. On the LAT’s site, Kenneth Turan sums it up almost perfectly when he says that the film is “something acceptable but pedestrian, an adaptation that is more a prisoner of its story than the master of it.”

The movie certainly makes you think about things a little differently, especially when you recognize that the “superheroes” aren’t necessarily something supernatural, except for Dr. Manhattan’s time-traveling and molecular-transporting self, and even that has some science behind it, or tries to. I would absolutely go to the movie on opening night again, but unlike a lot of other aiming-to-be-blockbuster films, I can’t say I would recommend it to a lot of friends like I would those flicks. As Thilk’s first few paragraphs discuss, the film has had to bear so much weight about being “unfilmable,” as writer Alan Moore had said about the graphic novel. I wouldn’t ever go as far as saying that the result proved Moore right, as the movie stands on its own two legs just fine, but when you bill a movie in such a monstrous fashion, mainstream appeal is typically an end result of those marketing efforts, and I’m not sure that “Watchmen” will bring the ruckus in that way.

I’d give “Watchmen” three out of four stars (barely), as it was done very well visually, the opening credits sequence did a great job of storytelling, and it tried to take a whole lot of characters and concepts and jam them into less than three hours with decent success. But I liked “300″ better.

[ed: you can check out Wil Wheaton's comments on Twitter that I cited in a screen grab above here. Also, the first three or four grafs in Chris Thilk's above-mentioned review of the marketing behind "Watchmen" are some of the best I've seen out of him, and I've edited / reviewed hundreds (thousands?) of his blog posts since 2005 on a wide variety of topics.]

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